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Remittances: a massive market snubbed by the banks

I recently joined my friends at Anthemis – the guys
investing in Fidor, Simple and Moven – for a chat.

They gave me a nice leaflet on the trends in remittances
which I thought worth sharing with y’all, as it’s a great read with many useful
charts and stats.

The first chart shows the growth of remittances …

Remittances markets

… with the World Bank estimating that remittances are
growing at 11% CAGR from $234 billion in 2004 to $534 billion in 2012, growing
to $685 billion by 2015.

That does not take account of the informal remittances market
however, such as Hawala, which some estimate would add a further 40% of funds value to this
marketplace.

It’s not surprising that the market is so effervescent when
over 200 million people work in a country they weren’t born in, and over 40 million
immigrants in the USA alone in 2010, accounting for 13% of the population (up
from 11% in 2000).

It is also a market that is seeing big changes thanks to
mobile money transfer, even though costs are still high with an average fee of
9% or higher to make a transfer.  This is
down to the domination of the two largest players Western Union and MoneyGram,
who own 20% of the global market.

Western Union’s revenues for 2011 were $5.5 billion,
driven by 510,000 agent locations. MoneyGram’s revenues were $1.2 billion in
2011, with 284,000 agent locations.  Ria,
a subsidiary of Euronet, came third with $244.7 million revenues in 2010 and
107,000 agents.

America is the top remittance sending country, with $52
billion of outbound remittances in 2011. 
India is the top receiving country, with $70 billion received in 2012
(estimate) although Tajikistan is the top receiver based upon percentage of
GDP.  47% of Tajikistan’s GDP is based upon
remittances received.

There’s a load more in there, with two great infographics
in the centrefold, but it’s notable that this is all taking place as HSBC and Barclays close down their money transfer network support due to money laundering (I said
they would do this three years ago).

A further drive into Hawala and informal transfers, or an
opportunity for a new mobile money transfer system?

Anyways, here are the two infographics from Anthemis (doubleclick image to enlarge).

Remittances1

Remittances2

 

 Here's the full newsletter btw, and you can download it too!

Trends in Remittances, June 2013 [The Anthemis Newsletter] by anthemisgroup

About Chris M Skinner

Chris M Skinner
Chris Skinner is best known as an independent commentator on the financial markets through his blog, the Finanser.com, as author of the bestselling book Digital Bank, and Chair of the European networking forum the Financial Services Club. He has been voted one of the most influential people in banking by The Financial Brand (as well as one of the best blogs), a FinTech Titan (Next Bank), one of the Fintech Leaders you need to follow (City AM, Deluxe and Jax Finance), as well as one of the Top 40 most influential people in financial technology by the Wall Street Journal’s Financial News. To learn more click here...

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2 comments

  1. Chris, I like the graphics and also your foresight on remittances. The current environment where banks are closing accounts for money transfer operators is actually a sad indictment on the current quality of regulatory policing. After all, in the UK most of the operators who are having their accounts closed are actually Authorised Payments Institutions under the PSD and monitored by the FCA. What more do this operators have to do to prove that their systems are appropriate given that the regulator must be satisfied with them given that they have received their licence?
    If these accounts are closed then there is every chance that the payments will still flow – but illegally. This will drive a big hole through existing government policy and global AML/CFT approaches and therefore counter productive. It is not right that banks are asked to act as the policeman in this space and therefore we, at IAMTN, would like to seek and open and positive discussions with banks to agree a set of criteria/standards that would allow for accounts to be maintained by those operators that meet these standards.

  2. excellent graphics, thanks Chris and Anthemis.
    a couple more stats:
    Looked at from the perspective of the recipient nations, remittances account for more than 5% of Gross National Income in 28 countries. Since the average fee paid by a sender is up to 9%, for most of these countries, fees amounting to around 0.5% of GDP are ‘left on the table’. http://www.earthport.com/assets/uploads/2012/10/Earthport-Celent-Remittances_New_Retail_Banking_Segment.pdf
    The UK receives about double the amount it sends. http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTPROSPECTS/Resources/334934-1199807908806/UnitedKingdom.pdf
    If the cash-based incomes of the 400m people in Sub Saharan Africa earning <$10/day were 'electronified', that amounts to $50bn p.a. of liquidity. - SWIFT African Regional Conference, Gaborone, Botswana, 2013

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