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2010: what’s in store for the business of banking?

Each year, I try to start the year with a few predictions of what will happen.  Last year proved to be pretty accurate, although it was playing fairly safe. This year is fuzzier in outlook, with not a great deal of obvious trends emerging. But a few that seem likely are: Certainty in the economy…

Pat Bagley Goldman Sachs

Five predictions: were they right?

Back in January, I made five firm predictions for banking in 2009. Those predictions were: More major European and American banks disappear There will be some spectacular failures in the BRIC economies A Global Financial Regulatory Body is formed The US will drop IFRS Solvent banks gain major market share. So what happened? 1) More…

Misery

Your next employee (Part Two)

Back in August, I blogged about the new generation of employee. This week, I joined a presentation with JP Rangaswami to talk about the impact of technology on our lives, and the subject of Gen Y and the new generation of staff came up again. For those of you who don’t know JP, he describes…

A happy medium for marcroprudential supervision

In the dialogue of the past week or so, an interesting theme has emerged. The theme is globally harmonised rules. In fact, there appears to be a tectonic plate shift towards some form of global neutrality. What I mean by this is that historically, the English have disliked the French and vice versa; the Americans…

Part Three – Real-time risks and opportunities

In the final part of this discussion of risks and opportunities in CEE, I was asked to give a view (see if you can spot me).   So here’s my brief summary: What are the risks for the next year or two? First, we are still in the middle of what I call the internet,…

FSClub CEE 1109_02

Who’s afraid of Tesco Bank?

Just back from Athens at a conference on retail banking with the star attraction being yours truly … well, I thought I was the star attraction until the post-lunch heavyweight speaker Sir Terry Leahy, Chief Executive of Tesco, turned up … I remember hearing Tim Mason, Tesco's Marketing Director, back in 1997 talking about internet…

Terry Leahy

Fragmenting the banking structure

Most banks have evolved from days of branches and large offices, to banks with multiple channels of distribution and extensive technology backbones. The issue banks have with this structure is that the technology backbone is broken. This is well illustrated by a comment from one payments manager who said to me that he gets his…

Cisco

Russia’s nerves creates massive volatility

After my meetings in Moscow last week, I’m wondering whether there is a Russian model of investing that could work with our Anglo-Saxon world of trading and meeting one of the key guys at MICEX, the Moscow International Currency Exchange (nothing to do with one’s gender), gave me a different view of Russia’s position. As…

Russia’s nerves creates massive volatility

After my meetings in Moscow last week, I’m wondering whether there is a Russian model of investing that could work with our Anglo-Saxon world of trading and meeting one of the key guys at MICEX, the Moscow International Currency Exchange (nothing to do with one’s gender), gave me a different view of Russia’s position. As…

Gordon Brown’s Tobin Tax … duh?

Many of us thought it a bit weird that Gordon Brown suggested bringing back the Tobin Tax last weekend during the G20 summit.  The idea is to tax every financial transaction, just a little bit, one or two cents on each … this way you can build up a fund for any future financial shocks….

Cisco

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