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Germany’s banks: Black Swans in White Feathers?

Over the past few months, the liquidity crisis storms have hit Germany as hard as any market. The German government had to bail out HypoReal Estate (HRE) and pumped €500 billion into the banks, a figure that is about to double. The question this raises in my mind is whether there are some more surprises…

Davos and the end of the euro

It’s been a week and a half again, but without many bank scare headlines thank goodness. Instead, we have lots of headlines of politicians and business leaders attacking the banking industry.  It all starts in Davos, with Chinese premier Wen Jiabao blaming America’s “unsustainable model of development characterised by prolonged low savings and high consumption”,…

Should banks stop advertising?

In a post that I’m sure will get a response from some folks (Jeffry?), February’s Banker Magazine (I write a monthly column for them) dropped onto my doorstep this morning with the front page: "The World’s Top 500 Banking Brands". You might be surprised that there are 500 banks around these days but this is…

Should banks stop advertising?

In a post that I’m sure will get a response from some folks (Jeffry?), February’s Banker Magazine (I write a monthly column for them) dropped onto my doorstep this morning with the front page: "The World’s Top 500 Banking Brands". You might be surprised that there are 500 banks around these days but this is…

Should banks stop advertising?

In a post that I’m sure will get a response from some folks (Jeffry?), February’s Banker Magazine (I write a monthly column for them) dropped onto my doorstep this morning with the front page: "The World’s Top 500 Banking Brands". You might be surprised that there are 500 banks around these days but this is…

The next boom starts in … 2014?

I don't normally share or post my speeches – I prefer to just talk rather than read - but I wrote my speech last night for a dinner presentation and thought I would share with you a shorter version here.  The speech disappointed a few folks as it forecast two years of flat or negative growth to…

Davos never forecast this lot

In 2006, I was honoured to be invited to join a project looking at scenarios for the financial markets, as an advisor to the World Economic Forum.  The first call I had with the project leaders, they asked me what concerned me most about banking? I spent most of the time talking about concerns around…

Davos never forecast this lot

In 2006, I was honoured to be invited to join a project looking at scenarios for the financial markets, as an advisor to the World Economic Forum.  The first call I had with the project leaders, they asked me what concerned me most about banking? I spent most of the time talking about concerns around…

Davos never forecast this lot

In 2006, I was honoured to be invited to join a project looking at scenarios for the financial markets, as an advisor to the World Economic Forum.  The first call I had with the project leaders, they asked me what concerned me most about banking? I spent most of the time talking about concerns around…

Why the UK government cannot nationalise

I wrote the last piece about nationalisation, because I was reflecting upon the challenges involved in the banking sector right now. The bottom-line is that shareholder confidence has disappeared in the sector, especially in the UK.   For example, on 12th December I put a chart together for one article as follows:                      Share Price                                       …

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